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    巴斯夫發布盈利預警后,PPG/宣偉/阿克蘇等股價下跌

    2019年07月14日 瀏覽量: 評論(0) 來源: 中國涂界網 作者: 黃雨晨
    摘要:7月8日,巴斯夫(BASF)發布了利潤警告,這一警告使其股價一度下跌6%。該公司表示,2019年第二季度息稅前利潤同比將下降70%,并預計2019年全年的EBIT將比一年前減少30%,而此前預計將增長10%。

    巴斯夫成立于1865年,是世界第二大化工公司,在全球90多個國家擁有390個工廠,銷售產品范圍從石化產品到顏料和染料,從涂料和防銹劑到電池材料,從泡沫到催化轉換器,從殺菌劑到食品配料。

    然而,產品和業務的全球化布局意味著,當全球貿易面臨壓力時,巴斯夫也是如此。可以說,巴斯夫是全球經濟的一個粗略縮影,使得其盈利預警在一定程度上成為了全球經濟的警告信號,至少對于押注寬松的貨幣政策能夠抵消貿易環境惡化的人們而言并非虛言。

    7月8日,巴斯夫(BASF)發布了利潤警告,這一警告使其股價一度下跌6%。該公司表示,2019年第二季度息稅前利潤同比將下降70%,并預計2019年全年的EBIT將比一年前減少30%,而此前預計將增長10%。該公司表示,“工業生產明顯低于預期,為巴斯夫的銷量與利潤帶來負面影響”。

    巴斯夫利潤下調,這在很大程度上要歸咎于兩個關鍵市場:首先是汽車行業,巴斯夫旗下大量化工產品、涂料和其他產品面向汽車行業。但第二季度,全球汽車產量下降了6%;中國這個全球最大的汽車市場的下降率比全球水平更甚,達13%。

    第二,巴斯夫還銷售農作物種子、農藥和化肥。今年,美國中西部地區的農業不僅僅受到極端天氣的影響,還受到貿易環境惡化的打擊。巴斯夫說,“農業部門的盈利前景轉淡,貿易問題導致農作物保護產品需求減少。”

    最令人擔憂是巴斯夫對未來的展望:“到目前為止,經濟前景惡化的態勢沒有緩解。”這與巴斯夫2018年報告截然相反。該公司補充說:“到目前為止,美國與其貿易伙伴,特別是中國之間的沖突還沒有得到緩解。事實上,6月底的20國集團峰會已經表明,預計2019年下半年不會出現快速緩和。總的來說,不確定性仍然很高。”這一警告在全球市場上產生了連鎖反應。

    考慮到巴斯夫業務具有廣泛的代表性,其盈利預警預示,第二財報季可能出現更多這樣的壞消息。截至北京時間17:56,巴斯夫股價下跌5.68%,并拖累其他化工企業,如:陶氏(Dow)股價下跌了1.5%,杜邦(DuPont)股價下跌2.8%,阿克蘇諾貝爾(AkzoNobel)下跌1.40%,,PPG工業下跌0.7%,亨斯邁(Hunstman)股價下跌0.3%,伊士曼化工(Eastman Chemical)股價下跌1.3%,科思創(Covestro)股價跌5.13%;科慕(Chemours)昨日股價暴跌7%后反彈;此外,宣偉(Sherwin-Williams)、艾仕得(Axalta)、亞洲涂料(Asian Paints)、瓦克化學(Wacker Chemie)、拜耳(Bayer)、科萊恩(Clariant)、漢高(Henkel)等涂料化工企業的股價均下跌。

    “巴斯夫的盈利預警表明,大型出口導向型德國企業開始感受到(美中貿易戰)帶來的痛苦。”荷蘭國際集團(ING Germany)首席經濟學家Carsten Brzeski表示,“在過去的12個月里,你可以說這是一個很好的泡沫,由于持續的不確定性,泡沫逐漸縮小,但進一步的裁員將耗費就業和資金。”

    巴斯夫表示,公司正在有序推進已公布的多項企業戰略相關措施,特別是產品組合管理和成本優化。隨著“卓越項目”的進一步實施,預計從2021年底起每年可為公司貢獻20億歐元的息稅折舊及攤銷前收益。巴斯夫計劃至2021年底全球預計減少6000個工作崗位。(涂界)

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